Morgan Stanley recently joined the ranks of other financial institutions in predicting that the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) will continue to tighten its monetary policy at a slower pace. According to Hande Kucuk, CEEMEA Economist at Morgan Stanley, the company estimates that the policy rate will increase by 250 basis points in the next meeting. However, despite the lack of specific forward guidance from the CBRT, Morgan Stanley anticipates that the pace of tightening will slow down.
The CBRT’s preference for a moderate adjustment in growth and delays in monetary transmission has led to this prediction. The bank is likely to reduce the rate of tightening and evaluate the impact of cumulative steps on economic activity and inflation.
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